TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057102
Played Sep 1Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111012––––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111012––––
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 7–2 Pawel Adamus Pawel Adamus has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Idaczyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1366 vs Adamus 1443
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 50% vs Adamus 70%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +2 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.60 / Adamus 1.42
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Adamus)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13057102
Idaczyk2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 105
Adamus1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 186 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 134 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeIdaczyk7wins
AwayAdamus2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayAdamus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk6Adamus3n = 9Idaczyk took 6 of 9
S2Idaczyk6Adamus3n = 9Idaczyk took 6 of 9
S3Idaczyk3Adamus6n = 9Adamus took 6 of 9
S4Idaczyk7Adamus1n = 8Idaczyk took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home667%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricIdaczykAdamusI − ABasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match40.237.6+2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 949 vs 379 / 68449.3%55.4%468 / 949 vs 379 / 684Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusIdaczyk 2.60/Adamus 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 15 · 03:35R. Idaczyk—116114113P. Adamus—81161172
WJul 20 · 06:30R. Idaczyk—11148113P. Adamus—8121191
WJul 19 · 04:25R. Idaczyk—11117113P. Adamus—841191
LJun 30 · 04:10R. Idaczyk—11991132P. Adamus—711119113
WApr 8 · 06:25R. Idaczyk—11116113P. Adamus—871161
WSep 27 · 06:25R. Idaczyk—101111113P. Adamus—129691
WJul 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk—12116113P. Adamus—1071181
LJan 9 · 17:40R. Idaczyk—86100P. Adamus—1111123
WJan 9 · 09:20R. Idaczyk—111311113P. Adamus—1311481
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111WSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981WSep 5 · 15:05R. Idaczyk2.37881111113J. Jesiek1.5211117752LSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123LSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720LSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.7511861272P. Adamus1.378111110113WAug 31 · 04:20S. Szostok1.678680P. Adamus2.091111113
Upcoming Matches
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