TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077590
Played Sep 5Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11891112101513––
Grzegorz Sawicki
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Grzegorz Sawicki below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 89 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 71.6%
89 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sobkow
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1494 vs Sawicki 1225
Sobkow
Correct
both rated, 270 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 60% vs Sawicki 20%
Sobkow
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 60% vs Sawicki 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow +2 · Sawicki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sobkow)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.36 / Sawicki 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Sobkow)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077590
Sobkow1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 23 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Sawicki3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 120 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 247
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 63 vs 356 / 88958.7%40%37 / 63 vs 356 / 889Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.36/Sawicki 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobkow won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113LSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113WSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133WSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481
G. Sawicki10
LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113WSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111
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