TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13063794
Played Sep 2Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12141210111711––
Rafal Gajda
Away
1.27
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
12141210111711––
H2H Boguslaw Madej 9–23 Rafal Gajda Boguslaw Madej has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-23 in 32
Gajda
Correct
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madej 1233 vs Gajda 1322
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 40% vs Gajda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 40% vs Gajda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej -1 · Gajda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Gajda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (40%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 3.25 / Gajda 1.27
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Gajda)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13063794
Madej3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Gajda1.27
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 165 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it91% 73 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadej5wins
AwayGajda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadej57.1%4 of 7
AwayGajda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej7Gajda3n = 10Madej took 7 of 10
S2Madej6Gajda4n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S3Madej5Gajda5n = 10split evenly
S4Madej1Gajda6n = 7Gajda took 6 of 7
S5Madej2Gajda1n = 3Madej took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadejGajdaM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.0+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 380 vs 395 / 77035.8%51.3%136 / 380 vs 395 / 770Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaMadej 3.25/Gajda 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.3%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 10:20B. Madej—1111113R. Gajda—9540
LJul 21 · 15:05B. Madej—811751R. Gajda—11611113
WJul 21 · 09:05B. Madej—713118113R. Gajda—111121182
WJul 7 · 15:30B. Madej—1111115113R. Gajda—81341172
WJul 7 · 09:30B. Madej—1111113R. Gajda—4970
LMay 26 · 15:30B. Madej—11108101R. Gajda—91211123
LMay 26 · 09:30B. Madej—111061182R. Gajda—712118113
WMay 19 · 15:30B. Madej—1911133R. Gajda—177110
LMay 19 · 09:30B. Madej—9118111R. Gajda—11411133
LMay 12 · 15:30B. Madej—1178121R. Gajda—41111143
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
R. Gajda10
WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda1.83111311113O. Vincenec1.831311551WSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571LSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113
Upcoming Matches
B. Madej
Nothing scheduled
R. Gajda2 of 3 neutral
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