TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13063209
Played Sep 2Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
2.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8114111517––––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
8114111517––––
H2H Boguslaw Madej 3–4 Mariusz Adamus Boguslaw Madej has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madej 1244 vs Adamus 1350
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej +2 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 2.85 / Adamus 1.35
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13063209
Madej2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Adamus1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 219 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it87% 82 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it72% 147 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMadej3wins
AwayAdamus4wins
5 of 7 to a deciderAdamus leads 4–3, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadej60%3 of 5
AwayAdamusn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej5Adamus2n = 7Madej took 5 of 7
S2Madej3Adamus4n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S3Madej5Adamus2n = 7Madej took 5 of 7
S4Madej1Adamus6n = 7Adamus took 6 of 7
S5Madej2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMadejAdamusM − ABasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match46.345.3+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 379 vs 783 / 161535.9%48.5%136 / 379 vs 783 / 1615Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusMadej 2.85/Adamus 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 09:05B. Madej—14811113M. Adamus—1211571
WJul 7 · 12:45B. Madej—11121110113M. Adamus—51451292
LJul 7 · 10:20B. Madej—11128572M. Adamus—9101111113
LMay 22 · 17:05B. Madej—116111882M. Adamus—711820113
LMay 22 · 05:55B. Madej—91111972M. Adamus—116611113
WMay 8 · 15:05B. Madej—111176113M. Adamus—99111122
LMay 8 · 09:05B. Madej—1151181M. Adamus—13116113
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
M. Adamus10
LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100LSep 5 · 01:00M. Adamus1.57411881G. Sawicki2.2511911113LSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161
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