TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13013702
Played Aug 25Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
5.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41112106111181412
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
41112106111181412
H2H Boguslaw Madej 14–37 Kacper Adamus Boguslaw Madej has won 14 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (84%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-37 in 51
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 23 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madej 1216 vs Adamus 1436
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej -2 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 5.60 / Adamus 1.10
Signal prob.5% / 95%
Edge (Adamus)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13013702
Madej5.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 36 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Adamus1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 337 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it98% 185 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it77% 269 of 348
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadej1wins
AwayAdamus9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadejn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Madej4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Madej0Adamus10n = 10Adamus took 10 of 10
S4Madej2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S5Madej1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadejAdamusM − ABasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.841.0−8.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 374 vs 926 / 171835.6%53.9%133 / 374 vs 926 / 1718Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusMadej 5.60/Adamus 1.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
94.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Madej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 7 · 11:30B. Madej—1611811112K. Adamus—186119133
LJul 7 · 07:10B. Madej—76100K. Adamus—1111123
LMay 26 · 17:05B. Madej—37100K. Adamus—1111123
WMay 26 · 08:45B. Madej—201185113K. Adamus—189111172
LMay 19 · 17:05B. Madej—611811102K. Adamus—116116123
LMay 19 · 08:45B. Madej—7960K. Adamus—1111113
LMay 12 · 17:05B. Madej—6760K. Adamus—1111113
LMay 12 · 08:45B. Madej—611871K. Adamus—11811113
LMay 5 · 13:30B. Madej—81080K. Adamus—1112113
LMay 5 · 07:30B. Madej—116471K. Adamus—91111113
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181
Upcoming Matches
B. Madej
Nothing scheduled
K. Adamus
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