TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065444
Played Sep 2Finished
Sebastian Juzek
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111191210118––
Boguslaw Madej
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Juzek to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
5111191210118––
H2H Sebastian Juzek 8–7 Boguslaw Madej Boguslaw Madej has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Juzek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juzek 1361 vs Madej 1246
Juzek
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juzek 60% vs Madej 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juzek 60% vs Madej 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juzek +2 · Madej +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Juzek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madej form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuzek 1.55 / Madej 2.30
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Juzek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13065444
Juzek1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 66 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Madej2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuzek6wins
AwayMadej4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJuzek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuzek100%3 of 3
AwayMadej57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juzek3Madej7n = 10Madej took 7 of 10
S2Juzek5Madej5n = 10split evenly
S3Juzek7Madej3n = 10Juzek took 7 of 10
S4Juzek5Madej1n = 6Juzek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuzekMadejJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.6+0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuzekMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 759 vs 138 / 38341%36%311 / 759 vs 138 / 383Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuzekJuzek 1.55/Madej 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Juzek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juzek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek—75120B. Madej—1111143
WAug 11 · 16:40S. Juzek—91111113B. Madej—115361
WAug 11 · 10:40S. Juzek—31311113B. Madej—1111771
LMar 3 · 18:05S. Juzek—891191B. Madej—11119113
LMar 3 · 09:45S. Juzek—781111102B. Madej—111199123
WDec 23 · 13:45S. Juzek—1114113B. Madej—51260
WDec 23 · 11:20S. Juzek—681211113B. Madej—111110962
LDec 2 · 16:30S. Juzek—7760B. Madej—1111113
WDec 2 · 10:30S. Juzek—1319113B. Madej—111780
WOct 30 · 18:05S. Juzek—11125113B. Madej—6101191
S. Juzek10
LSep 2 · 16:20S. Juzek1.858560R. Gajda1.801111113WSep 2 · 13:55S. Juzek2.1171311113M. Adamus1.621111941WSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:55S. Juzek1.68591171W. Buczynski2.0111119113WSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 07:55S. Juzek1.8611113113M. Adamus1.83971171WSep 2 · 06:45R. Gajda2.1010460S. Juzek1.671211113LSep 2 · 05:55S. Juzek1.62281381W. Buczynski2.11111111113LAug 26 · 16:30S. Juzek2.25511881K. Smolka1.5711711113
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
Upcoming Matches
S. Juzek2 of 3 neutral
B. Madej
Nothing scheduled
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