TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13064563
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
16149111113611––
Boguslaw Madej
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeBoguslaw Madej to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
16149111113611––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 19–19 Boguslaw Madej Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Madej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-19 in 38
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1078 vs Madej 1239
Madej
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 20% vs Madej 60%
Madej
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 20% vs Madej 40%
Madej
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -4 · Madej +1
Rus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Madej)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.20 / Madej 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Madej)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13064563
Rus2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog30% won 69 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Madej1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite35% won 9 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus5wins
AwayMadej5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus100%3 of 3
AwayMadej71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus3Madej7n = 10Madej took 7 of 10
S2Rus5Madej5n = 10split evenly
S3Rus4Madej6n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S4Rus5Madej2n = 7Rus took 5 of 7
S5Rus4Madej3n = 7Rus took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusMadejR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.543.8−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 383 vs 137 / 38231.6%35.9%121 / 383 vs 137 / 382Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadejRus 2.20/Madej 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Madej · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Madej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:20M. Rus—911711123B. Madej—117115102
LAug 25 · 12:45M. Rus—12111111112B. Madej—149913133
LAug 25 · 06:20M. Rus—911101142B. Madej—117129113
LAug 18 · 14:20M. Rus—810171182B. Madej—1112158113
LAug 18 · 06:20M. Rus—7380B. Madej—1111113
WJul 28 · 14:20M. Rus—1111911113B. Madej—91311742
WJul 28 · 06:20M. Rus—1111811113B. Madej—99111362
WJul 21 · 14:20M. Rus—781111113B. Madej—11119692
WJul 21 · 06:20M. Rus—1111113B. Madej—6890
LJul 14 · 14:20M. Rus—610100B. Madej—1112123
M. Rus10
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133WSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.