TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065580
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
3.15
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Rafal Gajda
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 75.4% is still 75.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
75.4%
75.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1012911911––––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 13–28 Rafal Gajda Maksymilian Rus has won 13 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-28 in 41
Gajda
Correct
gap of 15 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1070 vs Gajda 1330
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 260 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 0% vs Gajda 60%
Gajda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 20% vs Gajda 50%
Gajda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -5 · Gajda -1
Rus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Gajda) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 3.15 / Gajda 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Gajda)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13065580
Rus3.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog30% won 69 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Gajda1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 165 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it91% 73 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus4wins
AwayGajda6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRusn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGajda55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus1Gajda9n = 10Gajda took 9 of 10
S2Rus3Gajda7n = 10Gajda took 7 of 10
S3Rus6Gajda4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S4Rus4Gajda4n = 8split evenly
S5Rus4Gajda2n = 6Rus took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusGajdaR − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match41.145.8−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 384 vs 397 / 77331.5%51.4%121 / 384 vs 397 / 773Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaRus 3.15/Gajda 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.8%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 09:30M. Rus—114111152R. Gajda—131189113
LJul 28 · 15:05M. Rus—291191R. Gajda—11119113
LJul 28 · 09:05M. Rus—7680R. Gajda—1111113
LJul 21 · 12:45M. Rus—117541R. Gajda—61111113
WJul 21 · 10:20M. Rus—514119113R. Gajda—111291152
LJul 7 · 12:20M. Rus—813110R. Gajda—1115133
WJul 7 · 08:20M. Rus—1011119143R. Gajda—128611122
WJun 30 · 12:45M. Rus—514411123R. Gajda—1112118102
LJun 30 · 10:20M. Rus—11111111122R. Gajda—131399143
WJun 16 · 12:45M. Rus—7101112113R. Gajda—111291042
M. Rus10
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133WSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
R. Gajda10
WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda1.83111311113O. Vincenec1.831311551WSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571WSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
Nothing scheduled
R. Gajda2 of 3 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.