TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062519
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111191192111113
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:48 and never touched — 70.2% is still 70.2%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
70.2%
70.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
6111191192111113
H2H Maksymilian Rus 2–5 Mariusz Adamus Maksymilian Rus has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1090 vs Adamus 1322
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 20% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 20% vs Adamus 50%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus +1 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 3.75 / Adamus 1.22
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Adamus)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13062519
Rus3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Adamus1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 224 of 415
Up 2–0, closes it88% 84 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it72% 152 of 211
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRus2wins
AwayAdamus5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus2Adamus5n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S2Rus4Adamus3n = 7Rus took 4 of 7
S3Rus5Adamus2n = 7Rus took 5 of 7
S4Rus1Adamus5n = 6Adamus took 5 of 6
S5Rus1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricRusAdamusR − ABasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.743.9−4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 386 vs 780 / 161131.6%48.4%122 / 386 vs 780 / 1611Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusRus 3.75/Adamus 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.9%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus—911661M. Adamus—11711113
LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus—611112112M. Adamus—119911133
LAug 25 · 10:20M. Rus—65111162M. Adamus—111199113
WJul 7 · 15:05M. Rus—1181111113M. Adamus—81161382
WJul 7 · 09:05M. Rus—1115113M. Adamus—61390
LJul 2 · 15:05M. Rus—1291181M. Adamus—14118113
LJul 2 · 09:05M. Rus—5111381M. Adamus—11815113
M. Rus10
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871WSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
M. Adamus10
LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100LSep 5 · 01:00M. Adamus1.57411881G. Sawicki2.2511911113WSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113
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