TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065575
Played Sep 2Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
3.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111412911116––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.28
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
13111412911116––
H2H Boguslaw Madej 3–5 Mariusz Adamus Boguslaw Madej has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (71%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madej 1238 vs Adamus 1338
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 50% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 3.20 / Adamus 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13065575
Madej3.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Adamus1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 219 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it87% 82 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it72% 147 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMadej3wins
AwayAdamus5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadej60%3 of 5
AwayAdamus100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej5Adamus3n = 8Madej took 5 of 8
S2Madej3Adamus5n = 8Adamus took 5 of 8
S3Madej5Adamus3n = 8Madej took 5 of 8
S4Madej1Adamus6n = 7Adamus took 6 of 7
S5Madej2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMadejAdamusM − ABasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match43.944.5−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 384 vs 786 / 162035.9%48.5%138 / 384 vs 786 / 1620Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusMadej 3.20/Adamus 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Madej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej—84150M. Adamus—1111173
WAug 25 · 09:05B. Madej—14811113M. Adamus—1211571
WJul 7 · 12:45B. Madej—11121110113M. Adamus—51451292
LJul 7 · 10:20B. Madej—11128572M. Adamus—9101111113
LMay 22 · 17:05B. Madej—116111882M. Adamus—711820113
LMay 22 · 05:55B. Madej—91111972M. Adamus—116611113
WMay 8 · 15:05B. Madej—111176113M. Adamus—99111122
LMay 8 · 09:05B. Madej—1151181M. Adamus—13116113
B. Madej10
LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
M. Adamus10
LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100LSep 5 · 01:00M. Adamus1.57411881G. Sawicki2.2511911113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.