TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090938
Played Sep 8Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911911115171012
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
11911911115171012
H2H Oliver Vincenec 15–17 Mariusz Baron Oliver Vincenec has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Baron
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1373 vs Baron 1347
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 60% vs Baron 40%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 40% vs Baron 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Baron -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.86 / Baron 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baron)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13090938
Vincenec1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Baron1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 221 of 388
Up 2–0, closes it83% 105 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it70% 158 of 227
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayBaron5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec80%4 of 5
AwayBaron80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec8Baron2n = 10Vincenec took 8 of 10
S3Vincenec4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec2Baron7n = 9Baron took 7 of 9
S5Vincenec3Baron2n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecBaronV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.9−3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 1431 vs 874 / 180745.1%48.4%646 / 1431 vs 874 / 1807Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronVincenec 1.86/Baron 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec—1111115102M. Baron—991117123
WSep 1 · 13:30O. Vincenec—111111123M. Baron—8913101
LSep 1 · 07:20O. Vincenec—581151M. Baron—11117113
WAug 28 · 11:30O. Vincenec—511129113M. Baron—115101182
LAug 28 · 07:10O. Vincenec—1011491M. Baron—12411113
LAug 17 · 04:40O. Vincenec—1031371M. Baron—121111113
WAug 16 · 22:40O. Vincenec—141293113M. Baron—1210111192
LJul 10 · 23:20O. Vincenec—511911112M. Baron—119119133
WJul 10 · 17:20O. Vincenec—141124143M. Baron—1291111122
WMay 25 · 04:20O. Vincenec—1111113M. Baron—5980
O. Vincenec10
WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970
M. Baron10
LSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113LSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113WSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652WSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113WSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541LSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Oracz1.4712125882M. Baron2.4510101111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
Sep 8 · 08:20O. Vincenec2.40S. Szostok1.46—Sep 8 · 09:05O. Vincenec2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.69W. Buczynski1.97—Sep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.49S. Szostok1.43—Sep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.75J. Pruszkowski1.36—Sep 8 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.79M. Baron1.84—Sep 8 · 15:05O. Vincenec2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.69W. Buczynski1.97—
M. Baron
Sep 8 · 07:10M. Baron1.71W. Buczynski2.00—Sep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.75J. Pruszkowski1.36—Sep 8 · 09:30M. Baron2.39S. Szostok1.47—Sep 8 · 10:20M. Baron2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.68W. Buczynski1.98—Sep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.85K. Slawinski1.34—Sep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.84O. Vincenec1.79—Sep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.48S. Szostok1.43—Sep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.75J. Pruszkowski1.36—
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