TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092789
Played Sep 7Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
4.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311119611119––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
1311119611119––
H2H Patryk Mecik 30–114 Grzegorz Wichowski Patryk Mecik has won 30 of their 144 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wichowski beat Mecik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (78%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-114 in 144
Wichowski
Wrong
gap of 84 in 144, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1265 vs Wichowski 1428
Wichowski
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Wichowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 30% vs Wichowski 60%
Wichowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -2 · Wichowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 4.10 / Wichowski 1.18
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092789
Mecik4.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Wichowski1.18
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 250 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 228
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik2wins
AwayWichowski8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWichowski leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWichowski75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik2Wichowski8n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S2Mecik5Wichowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Mecik2Wichowski8n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S4Mecik2Wichowski6n = 8Wichowski took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikWichowskiM − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.039.6−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 817 vs 569 / 92940.2%61.3%328 / 817 vs 569 / 929Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiMecik 4.10/Wichowski 1.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.1%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 09:30P. Mecik—1011981G. Wichowski—12711113
WAug 31 · 12:20P. Mecik—41112113G. Wichowski—1171071
LAug 31 · 08:20P. Mecik—116871G. Wichowski—81111113
LAug 17 · 11:55P. Mecik—118391G. Wichowski—81111113
LAug 17 · 05:55P. Mecik—7440G. Wichowski—1111113
LAug 10 · 12:20P. Mecik—9730G. Wichowski—1111113
LAug 10 · 08:20P. Mecik—691271G. Wichowski—111110113
LJul 27 · 16:20P. Mecik—6117101G. Wichowski—11911123
LJul 27 · 06:45P. Mecik—311771G. Wichowski—11611113
WJul 20 · 13:10P. Mecik—911812113G. Wichowski—118111072
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113LSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113WSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851WSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163
G. Wichowski10
LSep 7 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.901112113G. Wichowski1.3471040LSep 7 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.75791391S. Szostok1.95111111113WSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.291511113W. Tobiasz3.3013990LSep 7 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.601111113G. Wichowski2.102860LSep 7 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.836990S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.91111111113R. Skotniczny1.77139981WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113
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