TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093367
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210114––––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.34
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1171210114––––
H2H Yurij Fomin 31–64 Grzegorz Wichowski Yurij Fomin has won 31 of their 95 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Wichowski beat Fomin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (68%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-64 in 95
Wichowski
Wrong
gap of 33 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1322 vs Wichowski 1410
Wichowski
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Wichowski 20%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Wichowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Wichowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.90 / Wichowski 1.34
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Wichowski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13093367
Fomin2.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 55 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Wichowski1.34
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 250 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 228
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayWichowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin66.7%4 of 6
AwayWichowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin6Wichowski4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Fomin2Wichowski8n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S3Fomin6Wichowski4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin5Wichowski4n = 9Fomin took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominWichowskiF − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.3−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 535 vs 569 / 93048.8%61.2%261 / 535 vs 569 / 930Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiFomin 2.90/Wichowski 1.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:45Y. Fomin—118741G. Wichowski—41111113
WAug 24 · 12:45Y. Fomin—811118113G. Wichowski—11791152
WAug 24 · 10:20Y. Fomin—11712113G. Wichowski—6111081
LAug 17 · 12:45Y. Fomin—681191G. Wichowski—11116113
WAug 17 · 10:20Y. Fomin—11114113G. Wichowski—841191
WJul 3 · 12:15Y. Fomin—11211123G. Wichowski—9119101
WJul 3 · 08:35Y. Fomin—11611113G. Wichowski—611761
LJun 15 · 13:10Y. Fomin—861111112G. Wichowski—111173133
LJun 15 · 05:30Y. Fomin—2750G. Wichowski—1111113
LJun 8 · 13:55Y. Fomin—111741G. Wichowski—71111113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 15:05Y. Fomin2.401110911102R. Skotniczny1.50612116123WSep 7 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.70111167123W. Tobiasz2.00381111102WSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113LSep 7 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.25971151S. Szostok1.5411118113LSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.109880R. Skotniczny1.651111113LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113
G. Wichowski10
LSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.75791391S. Szostok1.95111111113WSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.291511113W. Tobiasz3.3013990LSep 7 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.601111113G. Wichowski2.102860LSep 7 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.836990S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.91111111113R. Skotniczny1.77139981WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113
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