TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051171
Played Aug 31Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
151711581112101416
Patryk Mecik
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
119 points played in total.
Set by set
151711581112101416
H2H Jerzy Pelka 18–21 Patryk Mecik Jerzy Pelka has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-21 in 39
Mecik
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1348 vs Mecik 1219
Pelka
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 60% vs Mecik 40%
Pelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 40% vs Mecik 20%
Pelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -1 · Mecik -3
Mecik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.83 / Mecik 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pelka)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13051171
Pelka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite50% won 105 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it64% 75 of 117
Mecik1.86
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 101 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka3wins
AwayMecik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMecik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka50%3 of 6
AwayMecik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka6Mecik4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S2Pelka3Mecik7n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S3Pelka6Mecik4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka2Mecik6n = 8Mecik took 6 of 8
S5Pelka1Mecik3n = 4Mecik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaMecikP − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.041.8−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 917 vs 322 / 80746.2%39.9%424 / 917 vs 322 / 807Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.83/Mecik 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 15:05J. Pelka—9950P. Mecik—1111113
WAug 10 · 09:05J. Pelka—11712113P. Mecik—9111061
LAug 4 · 14:45J. Pelka—116114142P. Mecik—611611163
LAug 4 · 11:05J. Pelka—121471172P. Mecik—10121113113
LJul 20 · 11:30J. Pelka—1111491P. Mecik—13811113
WJul 20 · 07:10J. Pelka—1111113P. Mecik—8790
LJun 18 · 11:30J. Pelka—119841P. Mecik—81111113
LJan 9 · 17:20J. Pelka—118111182P. Mecik—131182113
LJan 9 · 07:45J. Pelka—101011101P. Mecik—12129123
WNov 21 · 17:40J. Pelka—116119123P. Mecik—411811102
J. Pelka10
LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113WAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus1.651511111192J. Pelka2.10171398113
P. Mecik10
WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850
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