TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052081
Played Aug 31Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811511116116119
Jerzy Pelka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
811511116116119
H2H Oskar Jadach 24–13 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 13 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-13 in 37
Jadach
Correct
gap of 11 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1480 vs Pelka 1324
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Pelka 20%
Jadach
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 90% vs Pelka 40%
Jadach
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +2 · Pelka -3
Pelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.46 / Pelka 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jadach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13052081
Jadach1.46
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 292 of 442
Up 2–0, closes it94% 134 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it85% 199 of 235
Pelka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog45% won 86 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach8wins
AwayPelka2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach85.7%6 of 7
AwayPelka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach7Pelka3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S2Jadach7Pelka3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S3Jadach7Pelka3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Jadach3Pelka2n = 5Jadach took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachPelkaJ − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.029.8+4.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1315 vs 424 / 91960.4%46.1%794 / 1315 vs 424 / 919Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.46/Pelka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 10:20O. Jadach—1111113J. Pelka—9850
WAug 21 · 13:10O. Jadach—1111113J. Pelka—9870
WAug 21 · 05:30O. Jadach—1111113J. Pelka—8450
WAug 20 · 16:40O. Jadach—21111113J. Pelka—112771
WAug 20 · 10:40O. Jadach—111184113J. Pelka—89111152
WAug 4 · 15:55O. Jadach—81111113J. Pelka—119691
LAug 4 · 09:55O. Jadach—4670J. Pelka—1111113
WJul 30 · 13:30O. Jadach—11613113J. Pelka—5111181
LJul 30 · 07:30O. Jadach—115661J. Pelka—41111113
WJul 24 · 11:30O. Jadach—1111123J. Pelka—77100
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113
J. Pelka10
LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113WAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus1.651511111192J. Pelka2.10171398113
Upcoming Matches
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