TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051716
Played Aug 31Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111151210911115
Witold Buczynski
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:48 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
9111151210911115
H2H Jerzy Pelka 28–16 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-16 in 44
Pelka
Correct
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1324 vs Buczynski 1294
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 20% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 40% vs Buczynski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -3 · Buczynski +1
Pelka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.60 / Buczynski 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pelka)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13051716
Pelka1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite50% won 105 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it64% 75 of 117
Buczynski2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 179 of 500
Down 0–1, comes back21% 62 of 298
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka7wins
AwayBuczynski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka83.3%5 of 6
AwayBuczynski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka6Buczynski4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S2Pelka6Buczynski4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S3Pelka4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Pelka5Buczynski0n = 5Pelka took 5 of 5
S5Pelka2Buczynski1n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaBuczynskiP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.533.3+4.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 919 vs 434 / 112846.1%38.5%424 / 919 vs 434 / 1128Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.60/Buczynski 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 11:30J. Pelka—711912113W. Buczynski—117111082
WAug 21 · 07:10J. Pelka—1111123W. Buczynski—46100
WJun 1 · 17:05J. Pelka—11812113W. Buczynski—7111031
WJun 1 · 08:45J. Pelka—1111113W. Buczynski—9980
WMar 19 · 04:35J. Pelka—11114113W. Buczynski—391141
LDec 4 · 16:55J. Pelka—39110W. Buczynski—1111133
WNov 26 · 12:30J. Pelka—1111113W. Buczynski—7740
LNov 26 · 08:10J. Pelka—117911112W. Buczynski—911115133
LOct 31 · 16:05J. Pelka—10660W. Buczynski—1211113
WOct 31 · 10:05J. Pelka—713911123W. Buczynski—1111113102
J. Pelka10
LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113WAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus1.651511111192J. Pelka2.10171398113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113WSep 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk1.7561181192W. Buczynski1.95116115113LSep 5 · 07:10M. Lach1.47711115143W. Buczynski2.45113511122WAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Nothing scheduled
W. Buczynski1 of 1 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.