TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053118
Played Aug 31Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611411––––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
511611411––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 26–45 Grzegorz Wichowski Jerzy Pelka has won 26 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-45 in 71
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 19 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1328 vs Wichowski 1401
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 40% vs Wichowski 20%
Pelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 40% vs Wichowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka +1 · Wichowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.75 / Wichowski 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Wichowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13053118
Pelka2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 86 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Wichowski1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 249 of 376
Up 2–0, closes it98% 122 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it84% 188 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka6wins
AwayWichowski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka75%3 of 4
AwayWichowski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka4Wichowski6n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S2Pelka5Wichowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Pelka5Wichowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Pelka6Wichowski4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaWichowskiP − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.8+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 923 vs 569 / 93046.2%61.2%426 / 923 vs 569 / 930Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiPelka 2.75/Wichowski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 06:45J. Pelka—11411113G. Wichowski—511781
WAug 21 · 16:40J. Pelka—81114113G. Wichowski—1191291
WAug 21 · 10:40J. Pelka—811711113G. Wichowski—11411782
LAug 10 · 16:20J. Pelka—1161191G. Wichowski—51113113
WAug 10 · 06:45J. Pelka—101111123G. Wichowski—1287101
LJul 24 · 15:30J. Pelka—761241G. Wichowski—111110113
WJul 24 · 09:30J. Pelka—11101211113G. Wichowski—41214772
WJul 20 · 15:30J. Pelka—11119123G. Wichowski—4811101
LJul 20 · 09:30J. Pelka—951181G. Wichowski—11117113
LJun 1 · 15:30J. Pelka—811971G. Wichowski—11511113
J. Pelka10
WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113WAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus1.651511111192J. Pelka2.10171398113
G. Wichowski10
WSep 7 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.91111111113R. Skotniczny1.77139981WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741LSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113WSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113LAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113
Upcoming Matches
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G. Wichowski
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