TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13021471
Played Aug 26Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15171113119118911
Jerzy Pelka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
115 points played in total.
Set by set
15171113119118911
H2H Kacper Adamus 35–32 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 32 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-32 in 67
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1437 vs Pelka 1361
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Pelka 40%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Pelka 40%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Pelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.65 / Pelka 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Adamus)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13021471
Adamus1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 341 of 566
Up 2–0, closes it97% 189 of 194
Up 1–0, closes it77% 272 of 353
Pelka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog45% won 84 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwayPelka3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%6 of 6
AwayPelka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Pelka4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus7Pelka3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S3Adamus6Pelka4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus4Pelka1n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPelkaA − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.3+3.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime924 / 1719 vs 432 / 93453.8%46.3%924 / 1719 vs 432 / 934Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.65/Pelka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus—1511111192J. Pelka—171398113
WAug 26 · 10:40K. Adamus—11911113J. Pelka—911891
WAug 25 · 13:10K. Adamus—1412113J. Pelka—121090
WAug 25 · 05:30K. Adamus—13119113J. Pelka—1181181
WAug 5 · 14:45K. Adamus—1111123J. Pelka—88100
WAug 5 · 11:05K. Adamus—1111113J. Pelka—4870
LJul 17 · 24:45K. Adamus—4790J. Pelka—1111113
WJun 17 · 13:10K. Adamus—1111113J. Pelka—8590
WJun 17 · 05:30K. Adamus—1011612113J. Pelka—127111042
LJun 12 · 24:25K. Adamus—8111261J. Pelka—11914113
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181
J. Pelka10
LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113
Upcoming Matches
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