TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051316
Played Aug 31Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
911811511––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 13–23 Oskar Jadach Jerzy Pelka has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-23 in 36
Jadach
Correct
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1333 vs Jadach 1461
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 40% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 40% vs Jadach 70%
Jadach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -2 · Jadach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.50 / Jadach 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Jadach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13051316
Pelka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog45% won 86 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Jadach1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 292 of 442
Up 2–0, closes it94% 134 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it85% 199 of 235
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka2wins
AwayJadach8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka25%1 of 4
AwayJadach83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S2Pelka3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S3Pelka4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Pelka2Jadach4n = 6Jadach took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaJadachP − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.635.8−3.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 918 vs 792 / 131346.2%60.3%424 / 918 vs 792 / 1313Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachPelka 2.50/Jadach 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 13:10J. Pelka—9870O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 21 · 05:30J. Pelka—8450O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 20 · 16:40J. Pelka—112771O. Jadach—21111113
LAug 20 · 10:40J. Pelka—89111152O. Jadach—111184113
LAug 4 · 15:55J. Pelka—119691O. Jadach—81111113
WAug 4 · 09:55J. Pelka—1111113O. Jadach—4670
LJul 30 · 13:30J. Pelka—5111181O. Jadach—11613113
WJul 30 · 07:30J. Pelka—41111113O. Jadach—115661
LJul 24 · 11:30J. Pelka—77100O. Jadach—1111123
LJul 24 · 07:10J. Pelka—1210111072O. Jadach—1012612113
J. Pelka10
LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113WAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus1.651511111192J. Pelka2.10171398113
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Nothing scheduled
O. Jadach
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