TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070591
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911118711––
Pawel Kurek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Pawel Kurek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 63.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 10–2 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1429 vs Kurek 1385
Pruszkowski
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Kurek 40%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Kurek 40%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +1 · Kurek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.44 / Kurek 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13070591
Pruszkowski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 466 of 718
Up 2–0, closes it96% 241 of 252
Up 1–0, closes it83% 361 of 435
Kurek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 112 of 289
Down 0–1, comes back23% 38 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski9wins
AwayKurek1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski88.9%8 of 9
AwayKurekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski9Kurek1n = 10Pruszkowski took 9 of 10
S2Pruszkowski6Kurek4n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S3Pruszkowski9Kurek1n = 10Pruszkowski took 9 of 10
S4Pruszkowski3Kurek2n = 5Pruszkowski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiKurekP − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.830.2+7.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime1129 / 1787 vs 373 / 74663.2%50%1129 / 1787 vs 373 / 746Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.44/Kurek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski—71111113P. Kurek—119941
WAug 20 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski—154142113P. Kurek—1311121162
WAug 4 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski—11911123P. Kurek—9118101
WAug 3 · 17:30J. Pruszkowski—1111123P. Kurek—65100
LAug 3 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski—1198121P. Kurek—71111143
WAug 2 · 17:30J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Kurek—7860
WJul 10 · 02:45J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Kurek—5970
WJul 8 · 10:10J. Pruszkowski—11711113P. Kurek—411831
WJul 8 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski—1112133P. Kurek—610110
WJun 24 · 04:10J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Kurek—9370
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153LSep 4 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.671011711113J. Pruszkowski2.1012711662WSep 4 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk4.004150J. Pruszkowski1.221111113
P. Kurek10
LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113WSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113WSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113LSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 6 · 17:30L. Oracz1.371112511113P. Kurek2.7561411662
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.