TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070494
Played Sep 4Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117711116116
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 1–0 Jakub Pruszkowski Jakub Pruszkowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sobkow
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1476 vs Pruszkowski 1429
Sobkow
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 60% vs Pruszkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 50% vs Pruszkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow +2 · Pruszkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sobkow) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.67 / Pruszkowski 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sobkow)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13070494
Sobkow1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 17 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Pruszkowski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog57% won 75 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back32% 18 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSobkow1wins
AwayPruszkowski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSobkow leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSobkowPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 59 vs 1129 / 178757.6%63.2%34 / 59 vs 1129 / 1787Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.67/Pruszkowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sobkow won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 4 · 06:05Z. Sobkow—111449113J. Pruszkowski—512111182
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113LSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113WSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133WSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153
Upcoming Matches
Z. Sobkow
Nothing scheduled
J. Pruszkowski1 of 1 neutral
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