TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059672
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Kaczynski
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012411––––
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:25 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
6111012411––––
H2H Piotr Kaczynski 2–4 Pawel Gasiorski Piotr Kaczynski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Gasiorski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczynski 1435 vs Gasiorski 1603
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczynski 60% vs Gasiorski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczynski 60% vs Gasiorski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczynski -1 · Gasiorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasiorski form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczynski 3.30 / Gasiorski 1.27
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Gasiorski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13059672
Kaczynski3.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 29 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Gasiorski1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite82% won 101 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKaczynski2wins
AwayGasiorski4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderGasiorski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGasiorski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczynski1Gasiorski5n = 6Gasiorski took 5 of 6
S2Kaczynski2Gasiorski4n = 6Gasiorski took 4 of 6
S3Kaczynski2Gasiorski4n = 6Gasiorski took 4 of 6
S4Kaczynski1Gasiorski3n = 4Gasiorski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricKaczynskiGasiorskiK − GBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match37.740.8−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczynskiGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 376 vs 197 / 24754%79.8%203 / 376 vs 197 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.12.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.641.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiKaczynski 3.30/Gasiorski 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.2%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 2 · 16:00P. Kaczynski—51310101P. Gasiorski—111112123
WMay 31 · 16:00P. Kaczynski—3111011113P. Gasiorski—11212782
LMay 26 · 16:50P. Kaczynski—991351P. Gasiorski—111111113
LMay 19 · 16:00P. Kaczynski—6860P. Gasiorski—1111113
WFeb 26 · 17:00P. Kaczynski—1114119113P. Gasiorski—71641182
LNov 12 · 20:10P. Kaczynski—910110P. Gasiorski—1112133
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:10P. Kaczynski2.1051611123M. Tkocz1.6011149101LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113WAug 25 · 18:45T. Wrzalik2.45112791P. Kaczynski1.4771111113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122WAug 25 · 16:00P. Kaczynski1.66101111113R. Gajda2.05127381WAug 18 · 20:20S. Krupa1.50711471P. Kaczynski2.4011811113
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.111215143R. Adach5.301013120LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153WSep 1 · 16:00W. Pytlas3.80591191P. Gasiorski1.2111115113WAug 27 · 20:00M. Tkocz2.6510360P. Gasiorski1.401211113
Upcoming Matches
P. Kaczynski3 of 3 neutral
P. Gasiorski
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