TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058944
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Kaczynski
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51116141191210––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
51116141191210––
H2H Piotr Kaczynski 9–15 Marek Tkocz Piotr Kaczynski has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Tkocz
Wrong
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczynski 1427 vs Tkocz 1437
Tkocz
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczynski 60% vs Tkocz 40%
Kaczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczynski 70% vs Tkocz 50%
Kaczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczynski -1 · Tkocz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczynski 2.10 / Tkocz 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058944
Kaczynski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 29 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Tkocz1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 318 of 466
Up 2–0, closes it95% 181 of 190
Up 1–0, closes it84% 262 of 311
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczynski3wins
AwayTkocz7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczynski66.7%2 of 3
AwayTkocz85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczynski3Tkocz7n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S2Kaczynski3Tkocz7n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S3Kaczynski4Tkocz6n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S4Kaczynski3Tkocz4n = 7Tkocz took 4 of 7
S5Kaczynski3Tkocz3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczynskiTkoczK − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.543.3−4.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczynskiTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 373 vs 756 / 112853.9%67%201 / 373 vs 756 / 1128Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczKaczynski 2.10/Tkocz 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski—128118143M. Tkocz—1011311122
LAug 18 · 19:35P. Kaczynski—411101182M. Tkocz—119127113
LAug 11 · 16:50P. Kaczynski—8860M. Tkocz—1111113
LAug 4 · 20:00P. Kaczynski—913111162M. Tkocz—1111139113
WJun 23 · 20:20P. Kaczynski—911119113M. Tkocz—11841192
LJun 16 · 19:35P. Kaczynski—8101171M. Tkocz—11127113
LJun 9 · 20:20P. Kaczynski—11821272M. Tkocz—5111110113
LJun 2 · 17:10P. Kaczynski—13670M. Tkocz—1511113
LApr 7 · 17:10P. Kaczynski—4590M. Tkocz—1111113
WApr 2 · 18:25P. Kaczynski—114118113M. Tkocz—91171182
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113WAug 25 · 18:45T. Wrzalik2.45112791P. Kaczynski1.4771111113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122WAug 25 · 16:00P. Kaczynski1.66101111113R. Gajda2.05127381WAug 18 · 20:20S. Krupa1.50711471P. Kaczynski2.4011811113
M. Tkocz10
LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113WSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 17:35K. Hetnar2.051111133M. Tkocz1.6699110WSep 3 · 16:50S. Szostok1.93713761M. Tkocz1.77111111113LAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122
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