TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13011691
Played Aug 25Finished
Piotr Kaczynski
Home
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012117113118––
Rafal Gajda
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1012117113118––
H2H Piotr Kaczynski 0–1 Rafal Gajda Piotr Kaczynski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Kaczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaczynski 1414 vs Gajda 1401
Kaczynski
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczynski 80% vs Gajda 40%
Kaczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczynski 70% vs Gajda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczynski +1 · Gajda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kaczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczynski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczynski 1.66 / Gajda 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kaczynski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13011691
Kaczynski1.66
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Gajda2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 134 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back29% 47 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKaczynski0wins
AwayGajda1wins
Gajda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKaczynskiGajdaK − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.034.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczynskiGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 368 vs 379 / 73053.8%51.9%198 / 368 vs 379 / 730Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiKaczynski 1.66/Gajda 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 14 · 17:10P. Kaczynski—10640R. Gajda—1211113
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:10P. Kaczynski2.1051611123M. Tkocz1.6011149101LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113WAug 25 · 18:45T. Wrzalik2.45112791P. Kaczynski1.4771111113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122WAug 18 · 20:20S. Krupa1.50711471P. Kaczynski2.4011811113
R. Gajda10
WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda1.83111311113O. Vincenec1.831311551WSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571WSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282
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