TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13014328
Played Aug 25Finished
Tomasz Wrzalik
Home
2.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117211711911––
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:01 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
117211711911––
H2H Tomasz Wrzalik 4–14 Piotr Kaczynski Tomasz Wrzalik has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Kaczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Kaczynski
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wrzalik 1367 vs Kaczynski 1423
Kaczynski
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wrzalik 60% vs Kaczynski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wrzalik 50% vs Kaczynski 70%
Kaczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wrzalik +2 · Kaczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kaczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrzalik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWrzalik 2.45 / Kaczynski 1.47
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Kaczynski)+6.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13014328
Wrzalik2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 68 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 53
Kaczynski1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWrzalik3wins
AwayKaczynski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKaczynski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWrzalik40%2 of 5
AwayKaczynski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wrzalik5Kaczynski5n = 10split evenly
S2Wrzalik4Kaczynski6n = 10Kaczynski took 6 of 10
S3Wrzalik3Kaczynski7n = 10Kaczynski took 7 of 10
S4Wrzalik2Kaczynski4n = 6Kaczynski took 4 of 6
S5Wrzalik1Kaczynski2n = 3Kaczynski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWrzalikKaczynskiW − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.238.6−6.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWrzalikKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 650 vs 200 / 37144.8%53.9%291 / 650 vs 200 / 371Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiWrzalik 2.45/Kaczynski 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 15:10T. Wrzalik—113491P. Kaczynski—31111113
LAug 4 · 19:10T. Wrzalik—7750P. Kaczynski—1111113
WJul 28 · 17:35T. Wrzalik—1111113P. Kaczynski—8890
LJul 14 · 18:45T. Wrzalik—6890P. Kaczynski—1111113
WJul 7 · 17:35T. Wrzalik—11119113P. Kaczynski—381161
LJun 23 · 17:10T. Wrzalik—11711372P. Kaczynski—911611113
LJun 16 · 20:20T. Wrzalik—1460P. Kaczynski—1111113
LMay 26 · 20:20T. Wrzalik—156691P. Kaczynski—131111113
LMay 19 · 20:20T. Wrzalik—41311732P. Kaczynski—1111911113
WMay 5 · 17:35T. Wrzalik—716911113P. Kaczynski—111411782
T. Wrzalik10
LAug 28 · 16:20T. Wrzalik2.6512119652G. Wichowski1.401071111113WAug 28 · 15:05T. Wrzalik2.95681111113K. Slawinski1.3511119892LAug 28 · 13:55T. Wrzalik2.001612671M. Baron1.71181011113LAug 28 · 12:45O. Vincenec1.807111111113T. Wrzalik1.8511813592LAug 28 · 11:55T. Wrzalik1.9571390P. Adamus1.741115113LAug 28 · 10:20T. Wrzalik1.95119111272O. Vincenec1.75711614113WAug 28 · 09:05T. Wrzalik2.65117117113K. Slawinski1.4061171162LAug 28 · 07:55T. Wrzalik1.8611781152M. Baron1.81811119113LAug 28 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.351011119113T. Wrzalik2.9012581132LAug 28 · 05:55T. Wrzalik2.0559100P. Adamus1.661111123
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:10P. Kaczynski2.1051611123M. Tkocz1.6011149101LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122WAug 25 · 16:00P. Kaczynski1.66101111113R. Gajda2.05127381WAug 18 · 20:20S. Krupa1.50711471P. Kaczynski2.4011811113
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