TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13035426
Played Aug 28Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111181113115119
Tomasz Wrzalik
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:31 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
7111181113115119
H2H Oliver Vincenec 9–4 Tomasz Wrzalik Tomasz Wrzalik has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1334 vs Wrzalik 1319
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Wrzalik 20%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 40% vs Wrzalik 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +2 · Wrzalik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrzalik form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.80 / Wrzalik 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vincenec)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13035426
Vincenec1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite54% won 140 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it75% 104 of 139
Wrzalik1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec7wins
AwayWrzalik3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec71.4%5 of 7
AwayWrzalik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec7Wrzalik3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S2Vincenec7Wrzalik3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S3Vincenec4Wrzalik6n = 10Wrzalik took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec5Wrzalik3n = 8Vincenec took 5 of 8
S5Vincenec4Wrzalik3n = 7Vincenec took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecWrzalikV − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.843.2+0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecWrzalikBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1376 vs 295 / 66344.8%44.5%617 / 1376 vs 295 / 663Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.80/Wrzalik 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 10:20O. Vincenec—711614113T. Wrzalik—119111272
WJul 28 · 22:25O. Vincenec—15614113T. Wrzalik—13111281
LJul 7 · 22:25O. Vincenec—71271192T. Wrzalik—1110116113
LMay 27 · 24:45O. Vincenec—111112592T. Wrzalik—841411113
WMay 26 · 17:10O. Vincenec—611911113T. Wrzalik—11511592
WApr 18 · 15:55O. Vincenec—1412123T. Wrzalik—1210100
WApr 18 · 09:55O. Vincenec—1111113T. Wrzalik—9890
WFeb 3 · 19:45O. Vincenec—114611113T. Wrzalik—91111692
LJan 27 · 23:50O. Vincenec—1181110102T. Wrzalik—711712123
WDec 2 · 20:10O. Vincenec—111112123T. Wrzalik—691111102
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970LSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481
T. Wrzalik10
LAug 28 · 16:20T. Wrzalik2.6512119652G. Wichowski1.401071111113WAug 28 · 15:05T. Wrzalik2.95681111113K. Slawinski1.3511119892LAug 28 · 13:55T. Wrzalik2.001612671M. Baron1.71181011113LAug 28 · 11:55T. Wrzalik1.9571390P. Adamus1.741115113LAug 28 · 10:20T. Wrzalik1.95119111272O. Vincenec1.75711614113WAug 28 · 09:05T. Wrzalik2.65117117113K. Slawinski1.4061171162LAug 28 · 07:55T. Wrzalik1.8611781152M. Baron1.81811119113LAug 28 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.351011119113T. Wrzalik2.9012581132LAug 28 · 05:55T. Wrzalik2.0559100P. Adamus1.661111123LAug 26 · 02:00T. Wrzalik1.8551160G. Marud1.851113113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
T. Wrzalik
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