TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13034820
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomasz Wrzalik
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1179111161214711
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1179111161214711
H2H Tomasz Wrzalik 4–8 Oliver Vincenec Tomasz Wrzalik has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wrzalik 1341 vs Vincenec 1311
Wrzalik
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wrzalik 20% vs Vincenec 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wrzalik 40% vs Vincenec 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wrzalik +1 · Vincenec -4
Vincenec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWrzalik 1.95 / Vincenec 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vincenec)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13034820
Wrzalik1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Vincenec1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 140 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it75% 104 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWrzalik3wins
AwayVincenec7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWrzalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVincenec75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wrzalik2Vincenec8n = 10Vincenec took 8 of 10
S2Wrzalik3Vincenec7n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S3Wrzalik6Vincenec4n = 10Wrzalik took 6 of 10
S4Wrzalik3Vincenec5n = 8Vincenec took 5 of 8
S5Wrzalik3Vincenec3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWrzalikVincenecW − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.8−1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWrzalikVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 661 vs 615 / 137444.6%44.8%295 / 661 vs 615 / 1374Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecWrzalik 1.95/Vincenec 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 22:25T. Wrzalik—13111281O. Vincenec—15614113
WJul 7 · 22:25T. Wrzalik—1110116113O. Vincenec—71271192
WMay 27 · 24:45T. Wrzalik—841411113O. Vincenec—111112592
LMay 26 · 17:10T. Wrzalik—11511592O. Vincenec—611911113
LApr 18 · 15:55T. Wrzalik—1210100O. Vincenec—1412123
LApr 18 · 09:55T. Wrzalik—9890O. Vincenec—1111113
LFeb 3 · 19:45T. Wrzalik—91111692O. Vincenec—114611113
WJan 27 · 23:50T. Wrzalik—711712123O. Vincenec—1181110102
LDec 2 · 20:10T. Wrzalik—691111102O. Vincenec—111112123
LNov 26 · 21:45T. Wrzalik—691191O. Vincenec—11116113
T. Wrzalik10
LAug 28 · 16:20T. Wrzalik2.6512119652G. Wichowski1.401071111113WAug 28 · 15:05T. Wrzalik2.95681111113K. Slawinski1.3511119892LAug 28 · 13:55T. Wrzalik2.001612671M. Baron1.71181011113LAug 28 · 12:45O. Vincenec1.807111111113T. Wrzalik1.8511813592LAug 28 · 11:55T. Wrzalik1.9571390P. Adamus1.741115113WAug 28 · 09:05T. Wrzalik2.65117117113K. Slawinski1.4061171162LAug 28 · 07:55T. Wrzalik1.8611781152M. Baron1.81811119113LAug 28 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.351011119113T. Wrzalik2.9012581132LAug 28 · 05:55T. Wrzalik2.0559100P. Adamus1.661111123LAug 26 · 02:00T. Wrzalik1.8551160G. Marud1.851113113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WAug 28 · 12:45O. Vincenec1.807111111113T. Wrzalik1.8511813592
Upcoming Matches
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O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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