TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13034931
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomasz Wrzalik
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111315911––––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
7111315911––––
H2H Tomasz Wrzalik 3–4 Pawel Adamus Tomasz Wrzalik has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wrzalik 1330 vs Adamus 1416
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wrzalik 20% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wrzalik 40% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wrzalik -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWrzalik 1.95 / Adamus 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13034931
Wrzalik1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Adamus1.74
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 174 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it77% 128 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWrzalik3wins
AwayAdamus4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderAdamus leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWrzalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wrzalik2Adamus5n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S2Wrzalik2Adamus5n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S3Wrzalik2Adamus5n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S4Wrzalik3Adamus2n = 5Wrzalik took 3 of 5
S5Wrzalik3Adamus1n = 4Wrzalik took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricWrzalikAdamusW − ABasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.643.6−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWrzalikAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 662 vs 378 / 68344.6%55.3%295 / 662 vs 378 / 683Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusWrzalik 1.95/Adamus 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 28 · 05:55T. Wrzalik—59100P. Adamus—1111123
LFeb 10 · 21:45T. Wrzalik—139136102P. Adamus—11111111123
LAug 6 · 24:45T. Wrzalik—8680P. Adamus—1111113
WJan 24 · 15:45T. Wrzalik—7121111113P. Adamus—11149932
LJan 24 · 12:05T. Wrzalik—411861P. Adamus—11911113
WJan 3 · 12:55T. Wrzalik—413911113P. Adamus—111111992
WJan 3 · 06:55T. Wrzalik—119911113P. Adamus—81111582
T. Wrzalik10
LAug 28 · 16:20T. Wrzalik2.6512119652G. Wichowski1.401071111113WAug 28 · 15:05T. Wrzalik2.95681111113K. Slawinski1.3511119892LAug 28 · 13:55T. Wrzalik2.001612671M. Baron1.71181011113LAug 28 · 12:45O. Vincenec1.807111111113T. Wrzalik1.8511813592LAug 28 · 10:20T. Wrzalik1.95119111272O. Vincenec1.75711614113WAug 28 · 09:05T. Wrzalik2.65117117113K. Slawinski1.4061171162LAug 28 · 07:55T. Wrzalik1.8611781152M. Baron1.81811119113LAug 28 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.351011119113T. Wrzalik2.9012581132LAug 28 · 05:55T. Wrzalik2.0559100P. Adamus1.661111123LAug 26 · 02:00T. Wrzalik1.8551160G. Marud1.851113113
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WAug 28 · 05:55T. Wrzalik2.0559100P. Adamus1.661111123
Upcoming Matches
T. Wrzalik
Nothing scheduled
P. Adamus1 of 1 neutral
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