TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13060471
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Kaczynski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115811811117114
Rafal Adach
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
115811811117114
H2H Piotr Kaczynski 1–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Kaczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaczynski 1427 vs Adach 1176
Kaczynski
Correct
both rated, 251 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczynski 40% vs Adach 0%
Kaczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczynski 60% vs Adach 0%
Kaczynski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczynski -2 · Adach -5
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kaczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczynski 1.36 / Adach 2.80
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kaczynski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13060471
Kaczynski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Adach2.80
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 84 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKaczynski1wins
AwayAdach0wins
Kaczynski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKaczynskiAdachK − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.024.0+18.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczynskiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 377 vs 227 / 55053.9%41.3%203 / 377 vs 227 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.534.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiKaczynski 1.36/Adach 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 17 · 16:35P. Kaczynski—11911113R. Adach—611341
P. Kaczynski10
LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:10P. Kaczynski2.1051611123M. Tkocz1.6011149101LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113WAug 25 · 18:45T. Wrzalik2.45112791P. Kaczynski1.4771111113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122WAug 25 · 16:00P. Kaczynski1.66101111113R. Gajda2.05127381WAug 18 · 20:20S. Krupa1.50711471P. Kaczynski2.4011811113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
Upcoming Matches
P. Kaczynski3 of 3 neutral
R. Adach
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.