TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059564
Played Sep 1Finished
Pawel Gasiorski
Home
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121015131412––––
Rafal Adach
Away
5.30
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:47 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
121015131412––––
H2H Pawel Gasiorski 1–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (83%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gasiorski 1600 vs Adach 1185
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 415 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasiorski 40% vs Adach 0%
Gasiorski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasiorski 70% vs Adach 0%
Gasiorski
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasiorski -1 · Adach -5
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (0%) is below what odds imply (19%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasiorski 1.11 / Adach 5.30
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Gasiorski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13059564
Gasiorski1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite82% won 101 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Adach5.30
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 84 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGasiorski1wins
AwayAdach0wins
Gasiorski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGasiorskiAdachG − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasiorskiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 246 vs 227 / 54879.7%41.4%196 / 246 vs 227 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match41.334.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiGasiorski 1.11/Adach 5.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WApr 25 · 18:20P. Gasiorski—1111113R. Adach—6790
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153WSep 1 · 16:00W. Pytlas3.80591191P. Gasiorski1.2111115113WAug 27 · 20:00M. Tkocz2.6510360P. Gasiorski1.401211113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
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