TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051970
Played Sep 1Finished
Wojciech Pytlas
Home
3.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911115911––
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.21
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
511911115911––
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 6–6 Pawel Gasiorski Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:44What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (76%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1412 vs Gasiorski 1612
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 60% vs Gasiorski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 40% vs Gasiorski 70%
Gasiorski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas -1 · Gasiorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasiorski form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 3.80 / Gasiorski 1.21
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Gasiorski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13051970
Pytlas3.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back32% 25 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Gasiorski1.21
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite82% won 101 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytlas5wins
AwayGasiorski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytlas50%2 of 4
AwayGasiorski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytlas4Gasiorski6n = 10Gasiorski took 6 of 10
S2Pytlas6Gasiorski4n = 10Pytlas took 6 of 10
S3Pytlas5Gasiorski5n = 10split evenly
S4Pytlas3Gasiorski6n = 9Gasiorski took 6 of 9
S5Pytlas3Gasiorski2n = 5Pytlas took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytlasGasiorskiP − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.4−2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 725 vs 195 / 24453.1%79.9%385 / 725 vs 195 / 244Avg sets wonper match2.02.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.241.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiPytlas 3.80/Gasiorski 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 29 · 16:50W. Pytlas—111111113P. Gasiorski—139581
WMay 20 · 18:25W. Pytlas—114138113P. Gasiorski—711111132
LMay 19 · 18:25W. Pytlas—7980P. Gasiorski—1111113
LApr 15 · 19:10W. Pytlas—11411832P. Gasiorski—811911113
WApr 8 · 18:25W. Pytlas—111195113P. Gasiorski—49111192
LApr 1 · 18:25W. Pytlas—611681P. Gasiorski—11711113
WFeb 26 · 17:50W. Pytlas—101112113P. Gasiorski—1241071
WNov 22 · 09:00W. Pytlas—1011118113P. Gasiorski—12861182
LNov 1 · 08:10W. Pytlas—11761342P. Gasiorski—6111111113
LAug 14 · 19:10W. Pytlas—611461P. Gasiorski—11811113
W. Pytlas10
LSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113LSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113LSep 6 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.57712381K. Juszczyk2.25111011113LSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113LSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 06:25J. Jesiek2.1011911962W. Pytlas1.65811811113LSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450WSep 5 · 03:35R. Adach2.95118691W. Pytlas1.3341111113
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113WSep 1 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.111215143R. Adach5.301013120LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153WAug 27 · 20:00M. Tkocz2.6510360P. Gasiorski1.401211113
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