TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077338
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114811611911––
Wojciech Pytlas
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:38 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Pytlas to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
114811611911––
H2H Rafal Adach 2–4 Wojciech Pytlas Rafal Adach has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Pytlas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Pytlas
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1176 vs Pytlas 1407
Pytlas
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 40% vs Pytlas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 20% vs Pytlas 50%
Pytlas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach +1 · Pytlas -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Pytlas) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytlas form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.95 / Pytlas 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Pytlas)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077338
Adach2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Pytlas1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 143 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it92% 77 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdach2wins
AwayPytlas4wins
Pytlas leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdach50%2 of 4
AwayPytlasn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach4Pytlas2n = 6Adach took 4 of 6
S2Adach1Pytlas5n = 6Pytlas took 5 of 6
S3Adach2Pytlas4n = 6Pytlas took 4 of 6
S4Adach1Pytlas2n = 3Pytlas took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdachPytlasA − PBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match29.232.2−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachPytlasBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 556 vs 387 / 73041.2%53%229 / 556 vs 387 / 730Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytlasAdach 2.95/Pytlas 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.9%
Pytlas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 1 · 17:10R. Adach—8160W. Pytlas—1111113
LJul 26 · 07:10R. Adach—11101131W. Pytlas—61213113
WJul 11 · 07:35R. Adach—11811113W. Pytlas—611171
LJun 7 · 03:35R. Adach—81060W. Pytlas—1112113
WMay 9 · 03:35R. Adach—1111113W. Pytlas—8940
LApr 19 · 08:45R. Adach—118531W. Pytlas—51111113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
W. Pytlas10
LSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113LSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113LSep 6 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.57712381K. Juszczyk2.25111011113LSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113LSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 06:25J. Jesiek2.1011911962W. Pytlas1.65811811113LSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450LSep 1 · 20:20W. Pytlas2.101121071M. Tkocz1.6771112113
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