TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080899
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911118911611
Wojciech Pytlas
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Pytlas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
118911118911611
H2H Jakub Jesiek 1–4 Wojciech Pytlas Jakub Jesiek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:47What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Pytlas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Pytlas
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1362 vs Pytlas 1342
Jesiek
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 60% vs Pytlas 40%
Jesiek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 60% vs Pytlas 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek +2 · Pytlas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Pytlas) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytlas form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 2.10 / Pytlas 1.65
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Pytlas)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13080899
Jesiek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 77 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Pytlas1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 144 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it92% 77 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJesiek1wins
AwayPytlas4wins
3 of 5 to a deciderPytlas leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJesiek33.3%1 of 3
AwayPytlasn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jesiek3Pytlas2n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
S2Jesiek1Pytlas4n = 5Pytlas took 4 of 5
S3Jesiek3Pytlas2n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
S4Jesiek1Pytlas4n = 5Pytlas took 4 of 5
S5Jesiek1Pytlas2n = 3Pytlas took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJesiekPytlasJ − PBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match43.044.2−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekPytlasBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 523 vs 388 / 73552.4%52.8%274 / 523 vs 388 / 735Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytlasJesiek 2.10/Pytlas 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Pytlas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 5 · 06:25J. Jesiek—11911962W. Pytlas—811811113
WJul 26 · 04:50J. Jesiek—1191015113W. Pytlas—511121352
LApr 25 · 08:00J. Jesiek—8101171W. Pytlas—11127113
LNov 30 · 05:50J. Jesiek—811991W. Pytlas—11511113
LNov 29 · 08:35J. Jesiek—11911542W. Pytlas—911511113
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
W. Pytlas10
LSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113LSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113LSep 6 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.57712381K. Juszczyk2.25111011113LSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113LSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191LSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450WSep 5 · 03:35R. Adach2.95118691W. Pytlas1.3341111113LSep 1 · 20:20W. Pytlas2.101121071M. Tkocz1.6771112113
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