TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071936
Played Sep 4Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101210611119––
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:18 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
12101210611119––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 0–3 Pawel Gasiorski Lukasz Bernacki has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:18What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Gasiorski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Gasiorski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1393 vs Gasiorski 1619
Gasiorski
Wrong
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 20% vs Gasiorski 80%
Gasiorski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 40% vs Gasiorski 70%
Gasiorski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki +1 · Gasiorski +3
Gasiorski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 3.40 / Gasiorski 1.25
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Gasiorski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13071936
Bernacki3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 43 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Gasiorski1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite81% won 105 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 66 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBernacki0wins
AwayGasiorski3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderGasiorski leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bernacki1Gasiorski2n = 3Gasiorski took 2 of 3
S2Bernacki0Gasiorski3n = 3Gasiorski took 3 of 3
S3Bernacki1Gasiorski2n = 3Gasiorski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBernackiGasiorskiB − GBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.341.3−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 509 vs 199 / 24951.7%79.9%263 / 509 vs 199 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.02.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.541.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiBernacki 3.40/Gasiorski 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.9%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bernacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMay 22 · 15:30L. Bernacki—129101182P. Gasiorski—1011129113
LApr 5 · 15:30L. Bernacki—991161P. Gasiorski—11115113
LMar 22 · 14:10L. Bernacki—7950P. Gasiorski—1111113
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113WSep 1 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.111215143R. Adach5.301013120LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153WSep 1 · 16:00W. Pytlas3.80591191P. Gasiorski1.2111115113WAug 27 · 20:00M. Tkocz2.6510360P. Gasiorski1.401211113
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