TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13045825
Played Aug 30Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.23
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711115––
Jakub Michalski
Away
3.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:20 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
118117711115––
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 72–74 Jakub Michalski Krzysztof Juszczyk has won 72 of their 146 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:20What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (75%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-74 in 146
Michalski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 146, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1494 vs Michalski 1179
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 315 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 80% vs Michalski 40%
Juszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 80% vs Michalski 30%
Juszczyk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +4 · Michalski -1
Juszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (28%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.23 / Michalski 3.60
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Juszczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13045825
Juszczyk1.23
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 189 of 299
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 190
Michalski3.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 99 of 318
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuszczyk6wins
AwayMichalski4wins
Juszczyk leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk100%4 of 4
AwayMichalski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk4Michalski6n = 10Michalski took 6 of 10
S2Juszczyk7Michalski3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Juszczyk7Michalski3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Juszczyk2Michalski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuszczykMichalskiJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.130.9+1.2per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime636 / 1192 vs 422 / 108353.4%39%636 / 1192 vs 422 / 1083Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.733.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.23/Michalski 3.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.7%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 22:40K. Juszczyk—681151J. Michalski—11119113
WAug 29 · 04:40K. Juszczyk—1111143J. Michalski—58120
WAug 28 · 22:40K. Juszczyk—1111113J. Michalski—4880
WJul 12 · 04:40K. Juszczyk—51112113J. Michalski—1141071
WJul 11 · 22:40K. Juszczyk—1111113J. Michalski—9860
LMay 10 · 04:40K. Juszczyk—9640J. Michalski—1111113
WMay 9 · 22:40K. Juszczyk—91111143J. Michalski—1177121
WFeb 8 · 24:55K. Juszczyk—1111113J. Michalski—5990
LFeb 7 · 18:55K. Juszczyk—1011851J. Michalski—12711113
LFeb 1 · 02:55K. Juszczyk—3880J. Michalski—1111113
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113WSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540LSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113WSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121WSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.57712381K. Juszczyk2.25111011113LSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113WSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111
J. Michalski10
LSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631LSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 02:45R. Wiza1.50111310113J. Michalski2.408111281LSep 5 · 01:30K. Juszczyk1.251111113J. Michalski3.708970LSep 4 · 23:55R. Szymik1.131111123J. Michalski4.9535100LSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza1.601511113J. Michalski2.1013770LSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113LSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100LSep 4 · 19:30L. Bernacki1.28111011113J. Michalski3.25412181LSep 4 · 17:55R. Szymik1.121111113J. Michalski5.208570
Upcoming Matches
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