TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080690
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11813111012118––
Jakub Michalski
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:39 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Wiza to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
11813111012118––
H2H Roman Wiza 115–88 Jakub Michalski Jakub Michalski has won 88 of their 203 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Wiza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
115-88 in 203
Wiza
Correct
gap of 27 in 203, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1301 vs Michalski 1127
Wiza
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 60% vs Michalski 0%
Wiza
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 40% vs Michalski 10%
Wiza
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +1 · Michalski -5
Michalski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wiza) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 1.50 / Michalski 2.40
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Wiza)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13080690
Wiza1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it80% 73 of 91
Michalski2.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog31% won 92 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back13% 25 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza10wins
AwayMichalski0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWiza leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza100%7 of 7
AwayMichalski0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza7Michalski3n = 10Wiza took 7 of 10
S2Wiza9Michalski1n = 10Wiza took 9 of 10
S3Wiza8Michalski2n = 10Wiza took 8 of 10
S4Wiza4Michalski1n = 5Wiza took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaMichalskiW − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.530.3+10.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 941 vs 412 / 107141.9%38.5%394 / 941 vs 412 / 1071Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.333.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WizaWiza 1.50/Michalski 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Wiza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wiza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza—1511113J. Michalski—13770
WAug 30 · 01:10R. Wiza—1211113J. Michalski—10640
WAug 29 · 17:30R. Wiza—1112113J. Michalski—61040
WAug 29 · 01:10R. Wiza—11119113J. Michalski—871191
WAug 28 · 17:30R. Wiza—91111123J. Michalski—1155101
WAug 15 · 01:10R. Wiza—911911113J. Michalski—11711782
WAug 14 · 17:30R. Wiza—1111113J. Michalski—8990
WAug 9 · 01:10R. Wiza—11101114133J. Michalski—212816112
WAug 8 · 17:30R. Wiza—61111113J. Michalski—117951
WAug 8 · 01:10R. Wiza—1111113J. Michalski—4870
R. Wiza10
LSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113LSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123LSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113LSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113
J. Michalski10
LSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631LSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 01:30K. Juszczyk1.251111113J. Michalski3.708970LSep 4 · 23:55R. Szymik1.131111123J. Michalski4.9535100LSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza1.601511113J. Michalski2.1013770LSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113LSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100LSep 4 · 19:30L. Bernacki1.28111011113J. Michalski3.25412181LSep 4 · 17:55R. Szymik1.121111113J. Michalski5.208570LAug 30 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.2311117113J. Michalski3.60871151
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