TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043942
Played Aug 30Finished
Andrii Kotyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311117––––
Yurii Shmyndra
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotyk above · Yurii Shmyndra below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 65.2%
58 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotyk 5–1 Yurii Shmyndra Yurii Shmyndra has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kotyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kotyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotyk 1681 vs Shmyndra 1542
Kotyk
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotyk 100% vs Shmyndra 20%
Kotyk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotyk 80% vs Shmyndra 40%
Kotyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotyk +5 · Shmyndra +1
Kotyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kotyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shmyndra form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotyk 1.53 / Shmyndra 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kotyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043942
Kotyk1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it85% 44 of 52
Shmyndra2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 48 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKotyk5wins
AwayShmyndra1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKotyk leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotyk100%3 of 3
AwayShmyndra33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotyk3Shmyndra3n = 6split evenly
S2Kotyk4Shmyndra2n = 6Kotyk took 4 of 6
S3Kotyk4Shmyndra2n = 6Kotyk took 4 of 6
S4Kotyk3Shmyndra0n = 3Kotyk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKotykShmyndraK − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.232.0+6.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotykShmyndraBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 414 vs 75 / 17245.4%43.6%188 / 414 vs 75 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykKotyk 1.53/Shmyndra 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kotyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk—1113113Y. Shmyndra—51170
WAug 29 · 18:05A. Kotyk—1111113Y. Shmyndra—8870
WAug 23 · 06:05A. Kotyk—781113153Y. Shmyndra—1111911132
LAug 22 · 19:05A. Kotyk—7950Y. Shmyndra—1111103
WJul 5 · 09:35A. Kotyk—71111113Y. Shmyndra—115461
WJul 4 · 19:05A. Kotyk—111113113Y. Shmyndra—931561
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 14:35A. Kotyk1.679118101O. Hura2.1011711123LAug 29 · 12:35A. Kotyk1.3391111392A. Shypilov3.25117711113WAug 29 · 02:30A. Shypilov2.756790A. Kotyk1.401111113
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681LAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113
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