TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037660
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Kotyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111178111012––
Orest Hura
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kotyk above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 59.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotyk 7–5 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kotyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Kotyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotyk 1610 vs Hura 1530
Kotyk
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotyk 60% vs Hura 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotyk 50% vs Hura 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotyk -1 · Hura +3
Hura
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kotyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotyk 1.67 / Hura 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kotyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037660
Kotyk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it82% 36 of 44
Hura2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotyk5wins
AwayHura5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotyk50%2 of 4
AwayHura50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotyk4Hura6n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S2Kotyk3Hura7n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S3Kotyk7Hura3n = 10Kotyk took 7 of 10
S4Kotyk5Hura2n = 7Kotyk took 5 of 7
S5Kotyk2Hura3n = 5Hura took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotykHuraK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.837.3+1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotykHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 413 vs 416 / 78444.3%53.1%183 / 413 vs 416 / 784Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykKotyk 1.67/Hura 2.10
Miss
What we said
57%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 24:00A. Kotyk—512711113O. Hura—111011972
LAug 23 · 09:05A. Kotyk—10670O. Hura—1211113
LAug 1 · 14:35A. Kotyk—11511942O. Hura—91161173
WJul 26 · 05:35A. Kotyk—11611113O. Hura—611251
LJul 25 · 18:35A. Kotyk—71090O. Hura—1112113
LJul 5 · 07:05A. Kotyk—89111162O. Hura—111168113
WJul 4 · 15:35A. Kotyk—741111133O. Hura—111166112
WJul 4 · 01:00A. Kotyk—91111113O. Hura—116751
LJun 19 · 20:30A. Kotyk—118118102O. Hura—811811123
WMay 10 · 09:05A. Kotyk—1111113O. Hura—5670
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.531113113Y. Shmyndra2.3851170WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 12:35A. Kotyk1.3391111392A. Shypilov3.25117711113WAug 29 · 02:30A. Shypilov2.756790A. Kotyk1.401111113
O. Hura10
WSep 11 · 21:30V. Vlasenko2.0071080O. Hura1.731112113LSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191LSep 10 · 03:15S. Kalenyk1.671091111113O. Hura2.1012117762LSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 9 · 23:45M. Smyrnov2.0011113113O. Hura1.73891191WSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113WSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113LSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060LSep 8 · 09:55O. Hura2.1051771182N. Kovalchuk1.671115114113LAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750
Upcoming Matches
A. Kotyk
Nothing scheduled
O. Hura
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