TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037493
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Kotyk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117117311911
Anton Shypilov
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kotyk above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 70.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotyk 9–2 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:42What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kotyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Kotyk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotyk 1626 vs Shypilov 1486
Kotyk
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotyk 60% vs Shypilov 40%
Kotyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotyk 60% vs Shypilov 30%
Kotyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotyk +3 · Shypilov -1
Kotyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kotyk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotyk 1.33 / Shypilov 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kotyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037493
Kotyk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it82% 36 of 44
Shypilov3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 195 of 409
Down 0–1, comes back29% 63 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back14% 15 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotyk9wins
AwayShypilov1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKotyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotyk100%5 of 5
AwayShypilov20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotyk5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kotyk7Shypilov3n = 10Kotyk took 7 of 10
S3Kotyk8Shypilov2n = 10Kotyk took 8 of 10
S4Kotyk5Shypilov2n = 7Kotyk took 5 of 7
S5Kotyk3Shypilov0n = 3Kotyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotykShypilovK − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.435.2+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotykShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 414 vs 345 / 75544.4%45.7%184 / 414 vs 345 / 755Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykKotyk 1.33/Shypilov 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 09:35A. Kotyk—981113113A. Shypilov—111141192
WJul 25 · 16:05A. Kotyk—1311113A. Shypilov—11860
WJul 19 · 07:35A. Kotyk—1111123A. Shypilov—99100
LJul 18 · 12:05A. Kotyk—911581A. Shypilov—11611113
WJul 5 · 05:05A. Kotyk—1111113A. Shypilov—8250
WJun 21 · 05:05A. Kotyk—11511113A. Shypilov—811871
WJun 20 · 17:05A. Kotyk—8141411113A. Shypilov—111216882
WMay 10 · 06:05A. Kotyk—8111110113A. Shypilov—11271252
WMay 3 · 09:05A. Kotyk—61311113A. Shypilov—1111861
WApr 26 · 07:05A. Kotyk—11512113A. Shypilov—7111091
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.531113113Y. Shmyndra2.3851170WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 14:35A. Kotyk1.679118101O. Hura2.1011711123WAug 29 · 02:30A. Shypilov2.756790A. Kotyk1.401111113
A. Shypilov10
WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LAug 29 · 02:30A. Shypilov2.756790A. Kotyk1.401111113
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