TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031481
Played Aug 29Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Andrii Kotyk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Andrii Kotyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 70.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 2–9 Andrii Kotyk Anton Shypilov has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kotyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Kotyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1496 vs Kotyk 1616
Kotyk
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Kotyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 40% vs Kotyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +1 · Kotyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kotyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.75 / Kotyk 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Kotyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13031481
Shypilov2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 194 of 410
Down 0–1, comes back28% 62 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back14% 15 of 111
Kotyk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov1wins
AwayKotyk9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKotyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov20%1 of 5
AwayKotyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov5Kotyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Shypilov3Kotyk7n = 10Kotyk took 7 of 10
S3Shypilov2Kotyk8n = 10Kotyk took 8 of 10
S4Shypilov2Kotyk5n = 7Kotyk took 5 of 7
S5Shypilov0Kotyk3n = 3Kotyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovKotykS − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.241.4−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovKotykBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 755 vs 184 / 41445.7%44.4%345 / 755 vs 184 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykShypilov 2.75/Kotyk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 09:35A. Shypilov—111141192A. Kotyk—981113113
LJul 25 · 16:05A. Shypilov—11860A. Kotyk—1311113
LJul 19 · 07:35A. Shypilov—99100A. Kotyk—1111123
WJul 18 · 12:05A. Shypilov—11611113A. Kotyk—911581
LJul 5 · 05:05A. Shypilov—8250A. Kotyk—1111113
LJun 21 · 05:05A. Shypilov—811871A. Kotyk—11511113
LJun 20 · 17:05A. Shypilov—111216882A. Kotyk—8141411113
LMay 10 · 06:05A. Shypilov—11271252A. Kotyk—8111110113
LMay 3 · 09:05A. Shypilov—1111861A. Kotyk—61311113
LApr 26 · 07:05A. Shypilov—7111091A. Kotyk—11512113
A. Shypilov10
WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.531113113Y. Shmyndra2.3851170WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 14:35A. Kotyk1.679118101O. Hura2.1011711123LAug 29 · 12:35A. Kotyk1.3391111392A. Shypilov3.25117711113
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