TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111595
Played Sep 11Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117911119––
Orest Hura
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Orest Hura at 57.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 36–32 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 32 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hura
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-32 in 68
Shypilov
Correct
gap of 4 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1465 vs Hura 1584
Hura
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Hura 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 40% vs Hura 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +1 · Hura -3
Hura
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.10 / Hura 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hura)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111595
Shypilov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 185 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back28% 61 of 219
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 112
Hura1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 93 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayHura6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHura leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHura66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov1Hura9n = 10Hura took 9 of 10
S2Shypilov6Hura4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov3Hura7n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S4Shypilov3Hura4n = 7Hura took 4 of 7
S5Shypilov3Hura1n = 4Shypilov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovHuraS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.440.8−2.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 784 vs 418 / 78845.7%53.1%358 / 784 vs 418 / 788Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraShypilov 2.10/Hura 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov—711851O. Hura—11811113
WSep 2 · 21:45A. Shypilov—611116113O. Hura—11681182
LSep 1 · 22:45A. Shypilov—11890O. Hura—1311113
LAug 29 · 15:35A. Shypilov—10790O. Hura—1211113
WAug 28 · 22:30A. Shypilov—51111113O. Hura—115771
LAug 26 · 24:45A. Shypilov—10560O. Hura—1211113
WAug 21 · 20:30A. Shypilov—911711183O. Hura—119119162
LAug 18 · 21:15A. Shypilov—711121182O. Hura—114148113
LAug 16 · 09:35A. Shypilov—1091181O. Hura—12117113
WAug 12 · 22:15A. Shypilov—111199123O. Hura—491111102
A. Shypilov10
WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121
O. Hura10
LSep 10 · 03:15S. Kalenyk1.671091111113O. Hura2.1012117762LSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 9 · 23:45M. Smyrnov2.0011113113O. Hura1.73891191WSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113WSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113LSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060LSep 8 · 09:55O. Hura2.1051771182N. Kovalchuk1.671115114113LSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161
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