TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100867
Played Sep 10Finished
Orest Hura
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911911119115911
Oleksii Mitla
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOrest Hura above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Orest Hura at 54.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Orest Hura 29–22 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 22 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hura
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-22 in 51
Hura
Wrong
gap of 7 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hura 1614 vs Mitla 1460
Hura
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hura 40% vs Mitla 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hura 40% vs Mitla 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hura -1 · Mitla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hura) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHura 1.73 / Mitla 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hura)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100867
Hura1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 91 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 62 of 84
Mitla2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 167 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back26% 61 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back11% 15 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHura7wins
AwayMitla3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHura leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHura80%4 of 5
AwayMitla40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hura5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S2Hura7Mitla3n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S3Hura7Mitla3n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S4Hura6Mitla3n = 9Hura took 6 of 9
S5Hura2Mitla3n = 5Mitla took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuraMitlaH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.4+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuraMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 786 vs 332 / 76353.2%43.5%418 / 786 vs 332 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraHura 1.73/Mitla 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 23:15O. Hura—1111113O. Mitla—7580
WSep 2 · 02:15O. Hura—15144113O. Mitla—13121171
LAug 30 · 11:05O. Hura—61111752O. Mitla—118611113
WAug 29 · 13:05O. Hura—81111183O. Mitla—1166161
WAug 29 · 01:00O. Hura—81111113O. Mitla—117491
WAug 23 · 05:35O. Hura—117712193O. Mitla—8111110172
LAug 13 · 02:45O. Hura—61111542O. Mitla—119411113
LAug 12 · 02:45O. Hura—111011432O. Mitla—912811113
WAug 8 · 14:35O. Hura—751111153O. Mitla—111196132
WAug 7 · 22:30O. Hura—12129113O. Mitla—10101191
O. Hura10
LSep 9 · 23:45M. Smyrnov2.0011113113O. Hura1.73891191WSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113WSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113LSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060LSep 8 · 09:55O. Hura2.1051771182N. Kovalchuk1.671115114113LSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113
O. Mitla10
LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140LSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740LSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141
Upcoming Matches
O. Hura
O. Mitla
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.