TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101219
Played Sep 10Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121141191210––
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 43–47 Valerii Vlasenko Anton Shypilov has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vlasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-47 in 90
Vlasenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1451 vs Vlasenko 1540
Vlasenko
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Vlasenko 80%
Vlasenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Vlasenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -1 · Vlasenko +3
Vlasenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.83 / Vlasenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vlasenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13101219
Shypilov1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Vlasenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov5wins
AwayVlasenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov66.7%4 of 6
AwayVlasenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov6Vlasenko4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Shypilov2Vlasenko8n = 10Vlasenko took 8 of 10
S4Shypilov4Vlasenko6n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S5Shypilov3Vlasenko0n = 3Shypilov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovVlasenkoS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.5+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 783 vs 415 / 94045.6%44.2%357 / 783 vs 415 / 940Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoShypilov 1.83/Vlasenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 24:30A. Shypilov—111114113V. Vlasenko—781651
LAug 26 · 22:45A. Shypilov—1611981V. Vlasenko—18911113
LAug 25 · 22:45A. Shypilov—127481V. Vlasenko—101111113
LAug 21 · 21:30A. Shypilov—10117131V. Vlasenko—12811153
WAug 16 · 07:05A. Shypilov—611711113V. Vlasenko—11411752
WAug 15 · 16:05A. Shypilov—11911113V. Vlasenko—711841
LAug 13 · 22:45A. Shypilov—10117111V. Vlasenko—12811133
WAug 13 · 03:15A. Shypilov—117119113V. Vlasenko—81191182
LAug 12 · 03:15A. Shypilov—117681V. Vlasenko—91111113
WAug 9 · 07:05A. Shypilov—1261011113V. Vlasenko—101112252
A. Shypilov10
LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151
V. Vlasenko10
WSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972LSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113WSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10851161O. Napirko1.6711117113LSep 8 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.38511631M. Smyrnov1.5311711113LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113
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