TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100904
Played Sep 10Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11681171114121210
Serhii Kalenyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Serhii Kalenyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 102 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 54.1%
102 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 33–30 Serhii Kalenyk Serhii Kalenyk has won 30 of their 63 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vlasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-30 in 63
Vlasenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1530 vs Kalenyk 1509
Vlasenko
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 60% vs Kalenyk 40%
Vlasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 40% vs Kalenyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko +2 · Kalenyk -3
Kalenyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 1.73 / Kalenyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vlasenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100904
Vlasenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite45% won 43 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 28 of 43
Kalenyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 78 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko9wins
AwayKalenyk1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVlasenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKalenyk0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko6Kalenyk4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S2Vlasenko7Kalenyk3n = 10Vlasenko took 7 of 10
S3Vlasenko6Kalenyk4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S4Vlasenko6Kalenyk3n = 9Vlasenko took 6 of 9
S5Vlasenko4Kalenyk1n = 5Vlasenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoKalenykV − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.240.4+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoKalenykBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 939 vs 343 / 72844.1%47.1%414 / 939 vs 343 / 728Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoVlasenko 1.73/Kalenyk 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 14:05V. Vlasenko—11411123S. Kalenyk—5115101
WSep 4 · 22:00V. Vlasenko—511612113S. Kalenyk—117111052
WSep 3 · 24:15V. Vlasenko—11118113S. Kalenyk—861171
LAug 16 · 08:05V. Vlasenko—1911117102S. Kalenyk—1761311123
WAug 15 · 18:05V. Vlasenko—14119103S. Kalenyk—1281181
WAug 14 · 01:15V. Vlasenko—211118113S. Kalenyk—11791172
WAug 12 · 21:45V. Vlasenko—581111163S. Kalenyk—111128142
WAug 11 · 21:45V. Vlasenko—1112113S. Kalenyk—41090
WAug 7 · 21:30V. Vlasenko—11111110113S. Kalenyk—13381282
WAug 5 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—13713113S. Kalenyk—11111181
V. Vlasenko10
WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972LSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113WSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10851161O. Napirko1.6711117113LSep 8 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.38511631M. Smyrnov1.5311711113LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113
S. Kalenyk10
LSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113LSep 9 · 21:15M. Smyrnov1.57111311113S. Kalenyk2.251311491WSep 9 · 03:15S. Kalenyk2.38135813113M. Smyrnov1.531111111152WSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362WSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740WSep 8 · 21:15O. Napirko1.831110571S. Kalenyk1.8361211113WSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113LSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791
Upcoming Matches
V. Vlasenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Kalenyk
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