TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043839
Played Aug 30Finished
Andrii Kotyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116411118––
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotyk above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 64.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotyk 2–3 Valerii Vlasenko Andrii Kotyk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kotyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotyk 1671 vs Vlasenko 1446
Kotyk
Correct
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotyk 100% vs Vlasenko 20%
Kotyk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotyk 80% vs Vlasenko 40%
Kotyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotyk +5 · Vlasenko -1
Kotyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kotyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotyk 1.50 / Vlasenko 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kotyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043839
Kotyk1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 61 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Vlasenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 122 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKotyk2wins
AwayVlasenko3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderVlasenko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVlasenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotyk2Vlasenko3n = 5Vlasenko took 3 of 5
S2Kotyk2Vlasenko3n = 5Vlasenko took 3 of 5
S3Kotyk1Vlasenko4n = 5Vlasenko took 4 of 5
S4Kotyk1Vlasenko3n = 4Vlasenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKotykVlasenkoK − VBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.042.6−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotykVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 413 vs 404 / 92145.3%43.9%187 / 413 vs 404 / 921Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykKotyk 1.50/Vlasenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 2 · 07:05A. Kotyk—1081112153V. Vlasenko—1211410132
LJul 18 · 16:35A. Kotyk—811971V. Vlasenko—11611113
LJul 18 · 01:00A. Kotyk—7740V. Vlasenko—1111113
WJul 3 · 21:00A. Kotyk—1411113113V. Vlasenko—123131182
LJun 19 · 21:30A. Kotyk—135991V. Vlasenko—111111113
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.531113113Y. Shmyndra2.3851170WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 14:35A. Kotyk1.679118101O. Hura2.1011711123LAug 29 · 12:35A. Kotyk1.3391111392A. Shypilov3.25117711113WAug 29 · 02:30A. Shypilov2.756790A. Kotyk1.401111113
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 11 · 21:30V. Vlasenko2.0071080O. Hura1.731112113LSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101WSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972LSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113WSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Kotyk
Nothing scheduled
V. Vlasenko
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