TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111097
Played Sep 11Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1179119111210711
Oleksii Mitla
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 39–39 Oleksii Mitla Dead even across their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mitla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-39 in 78
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1512 vs Mitla 1478
Vlasenko
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 60% vs Mitla 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 40% vs Mitla 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -1 · Mitla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 1.83 / Mitla 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vlasenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111097
Vlasenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Mitla1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko5wins
AwayMitla5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMitla75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko6Mitla4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S2Vlasenko6Mitla4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S3Vlasenko2Mitla8n = 10Mitla took 8 of 10
S4Vlasenko4Mitla4n = 8split evenly
S5Vlasenko4Mitla3n = 7Vlasenko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoMitlaV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.445.2+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 932 vs 334 / 76643.7%43.6%407 / 932 vs 334 / 766Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoVlasenko 1.83/Mitla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko—11991272O. Mitla—7111110113
WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko—1211713113O. Mitla—109111582
LSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko—84100O. Mitla—1111123
WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko—1111411113O. Mitla—13811452
LSep 5 · 01:00V. Vlasenko—101111792O. Mitla—126611113
WSep 3 · 01:15V. Vlasenko—1341112123O. Mitla—11111310102
WAug 30 · 08:35V. Vlasenko—1112811113O. Mitla—810111352
WAug 28 · 23:00V. Vlasenko—1111153O. Mitla—48130
LAug 26 · 20:45V. Vlasenko—1111912102O. Mitla—9131110123
LAug 24 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—8137111O. Mitla—111111133
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101WSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972LSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113WSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10851161O. Napirko1.6711117113LSep 8 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.38511631M. Smyrnov1.5311711113
O. Mitla10
LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140WSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740LSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121
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