TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015958
Played Aug 26Finished
Vsevolod Kheresko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118811114––
Roman Mazur
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:40 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Mazur to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVsevolod Kheresko above · Roman Mazur below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Roman Mazur at 63.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vsevolod Kheresko 0–1 Roman Mazur Vsevolod Kheresko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mazur
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kheresko 1198 vs Mazur 1256
Mazur
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kheresko 0% vs Mazur 40%
Mazur
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kheresko 40% vs Mazur 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kheresko -5 · Mazur -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mazur) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazur form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKheresko 2.50 / Mazur 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Mazur)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015958
Kheresko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 55 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Mazur1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKheresko0wins
AwayMazur1wins
Mazur leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKhereskoMazurK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.042.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhereskoMazurBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 390 vs 128 / 26250.5%48.9%197 / 390 vs 128 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MazurKheresko 2.50/Mazur 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Mazur · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 12 · 06:55V. Kheresko—6101181R. Mazur—11128113
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113
R. Mazur10
WAug 26 · 09:30R. Mazur1.401110511113V. Kheresko2.7541211172WAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072WAug 26 · 07:25A. Didyk1.83811951R. Mazur1.8311911113WAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113LAug 12 · 10:55R. Mazur2.0068100D. Kozoriz1.731111123LAug 12 · 10:08R. Mazur4.332780S. Prus1.201111113LAug 12 · 08:55S. Prus1.2081211113R. Mazur4.331110861WAug 12 · 06:55V. Kheresko2.256101181R. Mazur1.5711128113WAug 12 · 05:25R. Mazur1.40411119113O. Melnik2.7511861152WMay 28 · 11:25R. Mazur1.8381111143S. Kryvoshyi1.831192121
Upcoming Matches
V. Kheresko
R. Mazur
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