TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12410613
Played Aug 12Finished
Roman Mazur
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211711811––––
Serhii Prus
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
How it is goingRoman Mazur above · Serhii Prus below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Roman Mazur 0–11 Serhii Prus Roman Mazur has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Prus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazur 4.33 / Prus 1.20
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Prus)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12410613
Mazur4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Prus1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 47 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMazur0wins
AwayPrus10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrus leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazurn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPrus100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazur2Prus8n = 10Prus took 8 of 10
S2Mazur3Prus7n = 10Prus took 7 of 10
S3Mazur1Prus9n = 10Prus took 9 of 10
S4Mazur2Prus4n = 6Prus took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMazurPrusM − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.139.4−11.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazurPrusBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 266 vs 216 / 43549.3%49.7%131 / 266 vs 216 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusMazur 4.33/Prus 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.1%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 08:55R. Mazur—1110861S. Prus—81211113
LMar 26 · 06:25R. Mazur—41160S. Prus—1113113
LJan 21 · 12:55R. Mazur—10390S. Prus—1211113
LSep 23 · 14:55R. Mazur—711561S. Prus—11511113
LSep 14 · 08:55R. Mazur—57100S. Prus—1111123
LAug 24 · 09:55R. Mazur—114261S. Prus—111211113
LAug 17 · 04:25R. Mazur—11561182S. Prus—911118113
LAug 3 · 04:25R. Mazur—981131S. Prus—11113113
LJul 10 · 11:55R. Mazur—61161132S. Prus—118116113
LJan 19 · 10:25R. Mazur—6860S. Prus—1111113
R. Mazur10
WAug 26 · 09:30R. Mazur1.401110511113V. Kheresko2.7541211172WAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072WAug 26 · 07:25A. Didyk1.83811951R. Mazur1.8311911113WAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113LAug 26 · 04:55V. Kheresko2.5011118113R. Mazur1.50981141LAug 12 · 10:55R. Mazur2.0068100D. Kozoriz1.731111123LAug 12 · 08:55S. Prus1.2081211113R. Mazur4.331110861WAug 12 · 06:55V. Kheresko2.256101181R. Mazur1.5711128113WAug 12 · 05:25R. Mazur1.40411119113O. Melnik2.7511861152WMay 28 · 11:25R. Mazur1.8381111143S. Kryvoshyi1.831192121
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WAug 12 · 08:55S. Prus1.2081211113R. Mazur4.331110861
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