TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015993
Played Aug 26Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119911511––
Roman Mazur
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Roman Mazur below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 17–25 Roman Mazur Andriy Didyk has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:50What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mazur
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-25 in 42
Mazur
Correct
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1319 vs Mazur 1312
Didyk
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 80% vs Mazur 20%
Didyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 70% vs Mazur 50%
Didyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +3 · Mazur +1
Didyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazur form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.83 / Mazur 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Didyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015993
Didyk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Mazur1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk4wins
AwayMazur6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMazur leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMazur66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk1Mazur9n = 10Mazur took 9 of 10
S2Didyk6Mazur4n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S3Didyk6Mazur4n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S4Didyk3Mazur6n = 9Mazur took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykMazurD − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.439.2−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykMazurBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 462 vs 132 / 26746.8%49.4%216 / 462 vs 132 / 267Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykDidyk 1.83/Mazur 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mazur won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 07:25A. Didyk—811951R. Mazur—11911113
WMay 28 · 07:25A. Didyk—91111123R. Mazur—1177101
LMay 27 · 12:55A. Didyk—511761R. Mazur—11811113
WMay 21 · 07:25A. Didyk—117117113R. Mazur—51191162
LMay 20 · 14:55A. Didyk—11121061R. Mazur—131012113
LMay 14 · 04:25A. Didyk—7740R. Mazur—1111113
WMay 13 · 16:25A. Didyk—61111113R. Mazur—116681
WApr 29 · 07:25A. Didyk—61113153R. Mazur—11411131
LApr 28 · 15:25A. Didyk—781171R. Mazur—11119113
LApr 22 · 04:55A. Didyk—391151R. Mazur—11118113
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162
R. Mazur10
WAug 26 · 09:30R. Mazur1.401110511113V. Kheresko2.7541211172WAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072WAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113LAug 26 · 04:55V. Kheresko2.5011118113R. Mazur1.50981141LAug 12 · 10:55R. Mazur2.0068100D. Kozoriz1.731111123LAug 12 · 10:08R. Mazur4.332780S. Prus1.201111113LAug 12 · 08:55S. Prus1.2081211113R. Mazur4.331110861WAug 12 · 06:55V. Kheresko2.256101181R. Mazur1.5711128113WAug 12 · 05:25R. Mazur1.40411119113O. Melnik2.7511861152WMay 28 · 11:25R. Mazur1.8381111143S. Kryvoshyi1.831192121
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