TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12406520
Played Aug 12Finished
Vsevolod Kheresko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111012118811––
Roman Mazur
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Mazur to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVsevolod Kheresko above · Roman Mazur below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Roman Mazur at 55.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vsevolod Kheresko 0–1 Roman Mazur Vsevolod Kheresko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mazur
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kheresko 1227 vs Mazur 1256
Mazur
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kheresko 20% vs Mazur 60%
Mazur
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kheresko 20% vs Mazur 40%
Mazur
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kheresko -2 · Mazur +3
Mazur
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mazur) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKheresko 2.25 / Mazur 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Mazur)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12406520
Kheresko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Mazur1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKheresko0wins
AwayMazur1wins
Mazur leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKhereskoMazurK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.042.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhereskoMazurBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 370 vs 131 / 26751.1%49.1%189 / 370 vs 131 / 267Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MazurKheresko 2.25/Mazur 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Mazur · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mazur won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 12 · 06:55V. Kheresko—6101181R. Mazur—11128113
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113
R. Mazur10
WAug 26 · 09:30R. Mazur1.401110511113V. Kheresko2.7541211172WAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072WAug 26 · 07:25A. Didyk1.83811951R. Mazur1.8311911113WAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113LAug 26 · 04:55V. Kheresko2.5011118113R. Mazur1.50981141LAug 12 · 10:55R. Mazur2.0068100D. Kozoriz1.731111123LAug 12 · 10:08R. Mazur4.332780S. Prus1.201111113LAug 12 · 08:55S. Prus1.2081211113R. Mazur4.331110861WAug 12 · 05:25R. Mazur1.40411119113O. Melnik2.7511861152WMay 28 · 11:25R. Mazur1.8381111143S. Kryvoshyi1.831192121
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